Other data

---

In political science, it's sometimes said that all models are wrong, but some models are useful. This one was useful. As input, it took data on the number of remaining absentee and early votes in each county and on how the absentee and early votes had turned out so far in each county, along with the total statewide margin, and spit out a projected statewide margin. The model was never intended to precisely forecast the final result; rather, it helped inform my coverage.

The sheet I used to track the results of the 2020 recount in Georgia against the original results. Although I was confident the recount would not change the winner of the presidential race, it drew significant public interest, which I hoped to help address by providing this compilation.

A spreadsheet I used to follow the results of the special Democratic primary in Ohio's 11th congressional district, which was held on August 3, 2021.

I've done a lot of live result tracking, including a couple of other models as well as several elections where my goal was just to compile the results in one place.

At present, I do not intend to add past sheets directly to my website, as they covered elections that are, of course, in the past. If you would appreciate my doing so, let me know!

Candidates who qualified for municipal (city or town) office in Georgia in the 2021 general and special elections. This is a work in progress and will likely never be 100% complete.

Candidates who qualified for federal or state office in the 2020 general election. These offices include U.S. Senate, U.S. House, Public Service Commission, both houses of the General Assembly, and District Attorneys; candidates covered are those who appeared on the ballot or were certified as write-ins. This information is sourced directly from the Secretary of State's posted candidate list; categories such as “occupation” are reproduced as is and have not been checked for factual accuracy unless otherwise noted.

Candidates who qualified for county or municipal office in the 2020 general election. I was unable to cover all counties before the election; counties I did not get to simply are not displayed. This information is sourced directly from the Secretary of State's posted candidate list and available county candidate lists; categories such as “occupation” are reproduced as is and have not been checked for factual accuracy unless otherwise noted.

Candidates who qualified for federal or state office in the 2020 primary or the 2020 general nonpartisan election, both held on June 9 on a single ballot. These offices include U.S. Senate, U.S. House, Public Service Commission, both houses of the General Assembly, the state Supreme Court, the state Court of Appeals, Superior Courts, and District Attorneys. This information is sourced from the Secretary of State's posted candidate list; categories such as “occupation” are reproduced as is and have not been checked for factual accuracy unless otherwise noted.

Candidates for District Attorney, Solicitor (prosecutes misdemeanors), and Marshal in the June 9, 2020, primary and general nonpartisan election.

Federal and state legislative candidates in the 2020 Rhode Island primary.

Candidates for city or town office in the 2020 Rhode Island primary.

Endorsements by tracked organizations for the 2020 general election in RI. I tracked eight left-wing non-issue groups, three pro-choice groups, two pro-life groups, four environmental groups, three gun control groups, one gun rights group, six unions, the Providence Chamber, Indivisible, Run for Something, two other issue groups, three identity groups, and two police unions, for a total of thirty-seven groups.

Endorsements by tracked organizations for the 2020 primary election in RI. I tracked eight left-wing non-issue groups, three pro-choice groups, two pro-life groups, four environmental groups, three gun control groups, one gun rights group, six unions, the Providence Chamber, Indivisible, Run for Something, two other issue groups, three identity groups, and two police unions, for a total of thirty-seven groups.

Endorsements by tracked organizations for the 2018 general election in RI. I tracked thirteen organizations.

Endorsements by tracked organizations for the 2018 primary election in RI. I tracked thirteen organizations.

Unofficial results by precinct for the special Democratic primary in Ohio's 11th congressional district, in which Shontel Brown defeated Nina Turner and several minor candidates. Certification has since occurred at the county level (on August 23 and 24, 2021), and official precinct results are available from the Secretary of State here.

Official final results for the May 1, 2021 special election in Austin, including for each of the eight referendums, at the precinct level, the number of votes for and against as well as the number of over and under votes. I recommend using the guide linked with the button below to navigate, but if you'd prefer to just go to the folder, you can access it here. (The guide covers all documents in the folder.)

A spreadsheet showing when I called those state legislative races in GA and RI that I considered competitive. In Georgia, my final state legislative call was in favor of Ed Setzler in HD 35, at 7:30 p.m. on November 4. (For the most part, at least in Georgia, these calls were marked by public tweets.)

Tables showing how many early and absentee ballots had been accepted and how many absentees were possible for each county and precinct in Georgia for the January 2021 runoff.

Tables showing how many early and absentee ballots had been accepted and how many absentees were possible for each county and state legislative district in Georgia for the November 2020 general election. These tables were a key factor in my ability to provide accurate downballot coverage.

A folder of 2020 Georgia data that I shared publicly. All of this data should also be available elsewhere on this site.